Policy tsunamis

Un concept interesant într-un raport și mai interesant despre think tankuri. Apare și România !

2014 Global Go To Think Tank Index Report

XIII. Policy Tsunamis: In modern society, an increasing number of political, natural, and social phenomena surface in one state but grow rapidly and sweep across the globe. As globalization intensifies, these transnational events will grow in their number and intensity and create what I term “policy tsunamis.” These policy problems appear on the policy landscape in one country and then grow in size and complexity as they sweep across the globe with devastating consequences. Globalization, with the help of the Internet, enhances interdependence among nations and people, thereby allowing citizens to demand more from power authorities within and beyond their borders. Yet, such interdependence can cause the spillover of policy problems, creating contagion across the globe.53 Only those countries that are able to identify, track, and analyze these transnational shock waves will be able to respond to them effectively.
The 2008 economic crisis, the Arab Spring, Wikileaks, and now ISIL/ISIS, caught policymakers and the public off guard. Bolton writes, “Several European governments which co-operated with the US are now predictably running for the tall grass, endangering the continuity of existing programs and damaging prospects for future co-operation.

”54 The Bradley Manning/WikiLeaks exposure of classified Pentagon and State Department cables is causing Europe to lose its trust in Washington’s ability to protect classified information. There have always been local events with global implications, but what is new is the speed and intensity with which these policy issues travel around the globe and rapidly reach a crisis stage. The key dimension of the policy tsunami is its speed, which will require a new approach to analyzing and responding to policy issues when they arise – perhaps through more proactive, predictive analysis targeting key national, regional, and global trends.


Despre Claudiu Degeratu
Expert in securitate nationala, internationala, NATO, UE, aparare si studii strategice

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